The hardest job in world football, can Rösler survive the season? TSS July 7, 2015 Leeds United 17 Comments The Championship is a notoriously fickle league, often seeing multiple management changes in any given month. Last season alone for example, there were 23 changes of management. To most neutrals (and many of our own fans), it’ll come as no surprise to see Leeds United featuring high on that list. The unstable management situation can be attributed to Massimo Cellino’s erratic personality, but that’s not the whole story. The changes at Elland Road are also partly a result of unrealistic fan expectations paying little consideration to the capabilities of our team. As with any Leeds United manager, only by winning a majority of games will fans be satisfied with Uwe Rösler’s performance, but if you look at Betfair Sport’s betting odds (a useful barometer of how the neutrals see things) for our opening game against Burnley, we’re already considered underdogs on home turf. Burnley are expected to be one of the stronger teams of course and a lot can change between now and then, but Leeds really aren’t fancied for the current season and given Rösler’s only real chance of satisfying owner and fans is by reaching the top six, does he really stand a fair chance? Going back to Simon Grayson, a man criminally scapegoated by Ken Bates for finishing 7th our first season back in the Championship (despite Bates providing nowhere near enough to improve the squad, all while selling key players) Leeds have been expecting managers to produce the extraordinary without providing them the tools to do so. What football statistics need is some kind of weighted handicapping system to show the true value of a manager because the resources available to each given club dramatically alters what can realistically be expected of them. Man City or Chelsea winning the Premier League for example is always going to be a great achievement, but given the players and cash they have, it’s also expected. Would it be anywhere near as impressive as Leicester City or Bournemouth finishing in the top six? Of course it wouldn’t. The difference of course, is that Bournemouth and Leicester City fans don’t expect to finish in the top six. Leicester will be hoping for a more comfortable season of mid-table obscurity while Bournemouth would happily take 17th. Their fans’ expectations are realistic because they’re broadly in-line with that of the neutrals. Meet or exceed those expectations and their respective managers will be safe and congratulated. For Uwe Rösler however, he faces the unenviable task of trying to please an owner and fanbase who’ll only be satisfied with the Championship’s top six, despite the odds showing little faith in an improvement on last season’s finish. That disparity between expectation of neutrals and expectation of fanbase exists at some other clubs too, but rarely is it as wide as it is at Leeds. At this moment in time, before Rösler has taken charge of his first game, it’s easy for me to say that 12th should be considered realistic and a fair performance, worthy of him keeping his job considering what’s available to him. But I can’t guarantee I’ll feel that way by the end of September because Leeds United have been too many years outside the Premiership and my patience has long since been exhausted. It’s for that reason, Uwe Rösler has the worst job in world football and if he’s to survive a full season at this club, he’ll have to perform above and beyond what neutrals would consider realistic. [interaction id=”559bcf169831cbaa2144c06c”]